Over the course of the last week, many eloquent words have been spoken and memorable statements written about the events and memories of that fateful day. But above all, it is most important that the institutions meant to protect us meet their responsibilities by making decisions that safeguard our country from future attacks.
Barring a dramatic shift in the global landscape, the world will be a dangerous place for as far ahead as we can see. In such an environment, one fact is certain: the United States will continue to be the world’s number one target.
Thanks to their largely anonymous nature and disregard for physical borders, cyberattacks provide an increasingly attractive means for extremist groups and ill-intentioned nation states to target the U.S. Without international agreements to restrict their use or set a common framework for cyberwarfare behavior, the proliferation of cyberweapons and cyberattacks is all but assured.
Now matter how well grounded predictions of what may happen in the future might be, these calculations can easily be upended by circumstances and changing global factors beyond our control. Still, we can gather clues from the forces that influence the possible future.
Here are three forces we should be monitoring between now and the next 9/11 anniversary:
- Increasing severity of cyberattacks against American institutions.
When the types of attacks start to escalate from child’s play (like posting false Twitter messages or taking down a news website) to attacks that create operational damage, beware. This not only signals that attackers are increasing their sophistication, but also that we might face more serious dangers like extended power outages or communication interruptions.
- Negative results from the upcoming test of U.S. utilities’ cyber defense capabilities.
If November’s utility cyberattack resilience tests show serious vulnerabilities in the more than 200 government agencies and utilities that will participate (as was the case when Wall Street banks and exchanges were tested this past July), we have a sign of major trouble ahead.
- Expanded fear-driven restrictions on the operations of U.S. cyber intelligence agencies.
No one likes personal intrusions, but mistakes in any complex operation can and will be made. For agencies such as the NSA, it’s better to fix what is wrong and enhance what is working. Dismantling, crippling or unnecessarily restricting cyber intelligence efforts will only aid our enemies and leave us more vulnerable to attack.
And of course stay tuned to this site, where you will find all the late-breaking developments on these and other cybersecurity forces that affect our national security.
Will the U.S. Pay it Forward?
The legacy of the 9/11 attacks cannot and should not be squandered. In these tumultuous times when large portions of the world are becoming increasingly anarchistic, one question we should continually be asking ourselves is, “Can the U.S. maintain the bigger picture and stay out of its own way?”
Let’s hope that the answer to this question is yes. If not, those wishing to do us harm will soon find open doors to facilitate their actions.
("One World Trade Tower and Tribute in Light Memorial" image: Anthony Quintano/Flickr)